Exact model
A US Mega Millions play wins the jackpot
- Probability:
- 3.44 × 10⁻⁷%
- Odds:
- 1 to (2.9 × 10⁸)
- dBan
- −84.6 dBan
Match all five white numbers and the Mega Ball: one line does so once in 290,472,336 possible results.
Calculation
p = 1 jackpot result / 290,472,336 possible results
Assumptions
The current matrix picks 5 of 70 white balls and 1 Mega Ball from 24. Rules checked 25 October 2026.
Sources
- Virginia Lottery: Mega Millions current matrix checked 25 October 2026