Defined model

A year with a total solar eclipse

Probability:
67%
Odds:
2 to 1
dBan
+3.1 dBan

NASA’s catalogue records at least one total solar eclipse somewhere on Earth in 67 of the 100 calendar years from 2001 through 2100.

Calculation

p = 67 years with a type T eclipse / 100 years

Assumptions

The count uses distinct calendar years in NASA’s catalogue. Type T and T+ entries count as total eclipses. Hybrid eclipses are excluded, and visibility from any particular location is not implied.

Sources

  1. NASA GSFC: solar eclipses 2001–2100 Eclipse Predictions by Fred Espenak (NASA’s GSFC)