Estimate

A four-leaf white clover

Probability:
0.0197%
Odds:
1 to 5,080
dBan
−37.1 dBan

The cited estimate finds one white clover with four leaflets for every 5,076 with three. Among those three- and four-leaf clovers, that is one in 5,077.

Calculation

p ≈ 1 / (5,076 + 1) = 1 / 5,077

Assumptions

The comparison is restricted to three- or four-leaf white clovers. It is an approximate occurrence estimate rather than a precise worldwide survey. Genetics, environment, and the clover patch can change the rate. Search method, time, and patch choice determine the chance of finding one during a search.

Sources

  1. University of Georgia: spotting a four-leaf clover published 11 March 2022, reporting an estimate of one four-leaf clover per 5,076 three-leaf clovers